Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 59.044327 67.233757 75.641316 84.883775 94.725650 104.861891 116.059869
2025-11-16 46.727850 58.427757 71.023412 85.449070 101.380678 118.318390 137.571423
2025-11-23 38.413942 51.813349 66.784012 84.454103 104.471486 126.208478 151.372515
2025-11-30 33.333847 48.086986 65.105245 85.694497 109.491055 135.752729 166.570072
2025-12-07 29.438535 45.227408 63.978806 87.160065 114.410576 144.887049 181.043922
2025-12-14 25.042873 41.260281 61.136494 86.264727 116.312001 150.358531 191.179161
2025-12-21 20.928066 37.206909 57.832928 84.506658 116.939962 154.153390 199.216093
2025-12-28 19.565197 36.644958 58.771255 87.805399 123.481211 164.732023 214.985593
2026-01-04 17.755222 35.274886 58.534930 89.538176 128.056301 172.951096 227.982808
2026-01-11 15.322525 32.769314 56.634440 89.034544 129.801674 177.749182 236.929854
2026-01-18 13.199543 30.490737 54.870396 88.569211 131.486394 182.392530 245.628206
2026-01-25 11.588870 28.821509 53.812268 88.916758 134.100734 188.089547 255.521997
2026-02-01 9.766862 26.624305 51.912295 88.102994 135.247544 192.040879 263.405174
2026-02-08 8.417079 25.050351 50.793673 88.251129 137.556872 197.370034 272.913504
2026-02-15 6.960192 23.073939 48.950719 87.316750 138.405867 200.857894 280.171558
2026-02-22 6.175186 22.236327 48.740630 88.565715 142.026746 207.722679 291.471255
2026-03-01 5.523272 21.566835 48.734503 90.061170 145.943949 214.940128 303.191531
2026-03-08 4.474409 19.893993 47.062047 89.148752 146.665840 218.162267 310.050471
2026-03-15 3.422201 17.964287 44.841679 87.358011 146.157006 219.795834 314.934686
2026-03-22 3.303286 18.231353 46.206228 90.717973 152.478045 229.982993 330.258783
2026-03-29 2.955557 17.861234 46.482003 92.482513 156.665304 237.489654 342.311126
2026-04-05 2.339675 16.631527 45.233068 91.969677 157.770236 241.092073 349.565873
2026-04-12 1.817441 15.486952 44.048415 91.495821 158.888494 244.684459 356.789145